InteriorSafeRural

Fraser-Nicola

Titulaire du siège : Tony Luck · Conservative

Projected winner

Projection au 10 oct. 2026. Les candidatures ont fermé le 3 oct. 2026.

Conservative>99% chance of winning

Conservative · Tony Luck (incumbent)>99%
BC NDP · Jason Leboe
BC Green · Patrick Michell

2024 result

Tony Luckelected10,32654.3%
Francyne Joe6,91736.4%
Jonah Timms1,7619.3%

Margin: 17.9%
Tier: Lean
Turnout: 56.7%
Registered: 33,542

2020 result

Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.

Jackie Tegart4,24325.9%
Aaron Sumexheltzaelected4,17725.6%
Kelli Paddon1,3788.4%
Jonah Timms1,3518.3%
Laurie Throness1,0966.7%
Pam Alexis8355.1%
Jason Lum7734.7%
Simon Gibson7594.6%
Dennis Adamson3492.1%
Jeff Hammersmark3121.9%
Mike Bhangu2791.7%
Stephen Fowler2281.4%
Trevor Hamilton1831.1%
Todd Graham Stone770.5%
Bob D'Eith480.3%
Eli Gagné440.3%
Anna Thomas420.3%
Aeriol Alderking340.2%
Chelsa Meadus340.2%
Jeremy Valeriote250.1%
Jordan Sturdy240.1%
Dan Hines230.1%
Keith Murdoch160.1%
Matt Trenholm120.1%
Ben Stewart30.0%
Spring Hawes20.0%
Peter A. Truch10.0%

Who actually voted

2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.

18-24
50%
25-34
42%
35-44
46%
45-54
51%
55-64
60%
65-74
69%
75+
66%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.

Median household income: $67,50087 of 93
Average rent: $1,02387 of 93
Renters: 18.0%84 of 93
Bachelor's or higher: 10.9%91 of 93
Median age: 50.810 of 93
Over 65: 26.9%13 of 93
Immigrants: 10.9%77 of 93
Visible minority: 6.3%78 of 93
Indigenous identity: 25.8%4 of 93
Unemployment: 9.5%20 of 93

Closest races in Interior

The seats most likely to move with this one.