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Vancouver IslandSafeRural

Saanich North and the Islands

Député à la dissolution : Rob Botterell · BC Green · ne se représente pas ici

Projected winner

Projection au 11 oct. 2026. Les candidatures ont fermé le 3 oct. 2026.

BC Green91% chance of winning

  • BC Green · Emily Lowan91%
  • Conservative · Ryan Windsor8%
  • BC NDP · Kala Bryson2%
  • CentreBC · Richard Smith

2024 result

  • Rob Botterellelected12,30836.1%
  • Sarah Riddell10,95832.2%
  • David Busch10,14529.8%
  • Amy Haysom6351.9%
Margin
4.0%
Tier
Toss-up
Turnout
68.9%
Registered
49,437

2020 result

Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.

  • Adam Olsenelected16,74851.1%
  • Zeb King9,27828.3%
  • Stephen P Roberts6,07218.5%
  • Murray Rankin1840.6%
  • Lana Popham1790.6%
  • Nicole Duncan900.3%
  • Roxanne Helme810.3%
  • Kate O'Connor800.2%
  • Rishi Sharma770.2%
  • Florian Castle20.0%

Who actually voted

2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.

  • 18-24
    59%
  • 25-34
    49%
  • 35-44
    58%
  • 45-54
    63%
  • 55-64
    71%
  • 65-74
    79%
  • 75+
    77%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.

Median household income
$85,00052 of 93
Average rent
$1,35653 of 93
Renters
17.9%85 of 93
Bachelor's or higher
31.6%31 of 93
Median age
57.23 of 93
Over 65
36.3%2 of 93
Immigrants
19.1%53 of 93
Visible minority
6.5%76 of 93
Indigenous identity
5.9%39 of 93
Unemployment
5.7%92 of 93

Closest races in Vancouver Island

The seats most likely to move with this one.