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QCSAFEQuebec
Ahuntsic-Cartierville
M
Mélanie Joly
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal64%±7%·>99% win
Bloc Québécois16%±5%·<1% win
NDP8%±5%·<1% win
Conservative8%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's1%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Renters
61.0%
#17 of 343top 5%
Median income
$50,720
Under 35
17.6%
Top industry
Public sector · 29.9%
Area
24 km²
GE45 result
Margin
44.1%
Competitive
55.9/100
Key issues
Housing affordability61.0% renters
Seniors & healthcare27.0% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement37.3% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T196
Median income
$50,720
#T310
Avg 2BR rent
$1010/mo
bottom 10%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T167
Unemployment
10.2%
#155
Shelter stressed
20.7%
#17
Renters
61.0%
top 5%Age distribution
Under 35
17.6%#105
35–64
55.4%
65+
27.0%#188
Housing tenure
Renters
61.0%#17
Owners
39.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
9.8%#169
High school
13.5%#330
College/trades
30.8%#225
Bachelor's
26.2%#95
Postgrad
19.7%#38
People & Economy
#61
French knowledge
89.5%
top 25%#68
Immigrants
37.3%
top 25%#45
Recent arrivals
7.0%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#80
Visible minority
41.0%
top 25%#T317
Indigenous
0.5%
bottom 10%#T130
Govt. transfers
14.4%
#207
Self-employed
12.6%
Industry of employment
Public sector29.9%
Finance & prof15.1%
Trades & transport10.7%
Manufacturing9.0%
Resources0.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 48.9 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 79.2 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$9.2M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$5.3M/yr
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