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ONTOSSUPOntario
Brampton—Chinguacousy Park
S
Shafqat Ali
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal54%±6%·>99% win
Conservative35%±6%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's3%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Manufacturing
14.3%
#28 of 343top 10%
Median income
$43,840
Renters
28.4%
Under 35
13.0%
Top industry
Retail & service · 16.6%
Area
39 km²
GE45 result
Margin
4.4%
Competitive
95.6/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare25.3% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement49.5% immigrants
Employment13.8% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#312
Median income
$43,840
bottom 10%#84
Avg 2BR rent
$1832/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T39
Unemployment
13.8%
top 25%#52
Shelter stressed
28.3%
top 25%#164
Renters
28.4%
Age distribution
Under 35
13.0%#T237
35–64
61.7%
65+
25.3%#228
Housing tenure
Renters
28.4%#164
Owners
71.6%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
11.5%#119
High school
28.1%#95
College/trades
28.7%#250
Bachelor's
20.8%#147
Postgrad
10.8%#144
People & Economy
#289
French knowledge
4.7%
bottom 25%#32
Immigrants
49.5%
top 10%#30
Recent arrivals
7.8%
top 10%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#23
Visible minority
71.8%
top 10%#289
Indigenous
0.9%
bottom 25%#T124
Govt. transfers
14.6%
#232
Self-employed
12.1%
Industry of employment
Trades & transport25.0%
Public sector15.6%
Manufacturing14.3%
Finance & prof11.3%
Resources0.2%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 36.9 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 90.8 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.3M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$5.6M/yr
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