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ABTOSSUPPrairies
Calgary Centre
G
Greg McLean
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal47%±6%·74% win
Conservative43%±6%·26% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Median income
$87,700
#5 of 343top 5%
Renters
60.2%
Under 35
37.0%
Top industry
Finance & prof · 22.8%
Area
45 km²
GE45 result
Margin
4.4%
Competitive
95.6/100
Key issues
Housing affordability60.2% renters
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#5
Median income
$87,700
top 5%#167
Avg 2BR rent
$1503/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T114
Unemployment
11.5%
#40
Shelter stressed
29.5%
top 25%#20
Renters
60.2%
top 10%Age distribution
Under 35
37.0%#5
35–64
48.0%
65+
15.0%#336
Housing tenure
Renters
60.2%#20
Owners
39.8%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
4.1%#322
High school
16.0%#305
College/trades
22.1%#324
Bachelor's
38.4%#4
Postgrad
19.5%#42
People & Economy
#136
French knowledge
10.9%
#120
Immigrants
26.6%
#38
Recent arrivals
7.3%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#118
Visible minority
30.4%
#151
Indigenous
3.3%
#342
Govt. transfers
4.4%
bottom 5%#T103
Self-employed
15.9%
Industry of employment
Finance & prof22.8%
Public sector21.3%
Trades & transport9.4%
Resources6.7%
Manufacturing3.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 11.9 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 80.0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$65.7M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.0M/yr
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