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ABSAFEPrairies
Calgary Heritage
S
Shuv Majumdar
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative54%±5%·>99% win
Liberal37%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Avg 2BR rent
$2007/mo
#43 of 343top 25%
Median income
$64,400
Renters
22.9%
Under 35
13.0%
Top industry
Public sector · 23.7%
Area
73 km²
GE45 result
Margin
26.8%
Competitive
73.2/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare26.5% aged 65+
Employment12.6% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#46
Median income
$64,400
top 25%#43
Avg 2BR rent
$2007/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T70
Unemployment
12.6%
top 25%#161
Shelter stressed
20.3%
#241
Renters
22.9%
Age distribution
Under 35
13.0%#T240
35–64
60.5%
65+
26.5%#196
Housing tenure
Renters
22.9%#241
Owners
77.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
5.4%#292
High school
21.6%#202
College/trades
31.0%#222
Bachelor's
29.5%#52
Postgrad
12.5%#116
People & Economy
#228
French knowledge
6.3%
#99
Immigrants
31.8%
#T100
Recent arrivals
5.2%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#121
Visible minority
30.0%
#142
Indigenous
3.5%
#T294
Govt. transfers
8.6%
bottom 25%#T87
Self-employed
16.8%
Industry of employment
Public sector23.7%
Finance & prof16.1%
Trades & transport15.3%
Manufacturing5.0%
Resources4.5%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 10.2 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 80.0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$13.5M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.0M/yr
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