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ONSAFEOntario
Davenport
J
Julie Dzerowicz
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal62%±6%·>99% win
NDP18%±5%·<1% win
Conservative15%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Pop. density
8082.4/km²
#6 of 343top 5%
Median income
$54,100
Renters
47.6%
Under 35
23.4%
Top industry
Public sector · 22.3%
Area
15 km²
GE45 result
Margin
34.6%
Competitive
65.4/100
Key issues
Immigration & settlement39.6% immigrants
Employment13.3% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#139
Median income
$54,100
#95
Avg 2BR rent
$1792/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T51
Unemployment
13.3%
top 25%#29
Shelter stressed
30.9%
top 10%#51
Renters
47.6%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
23.4%#34
35–64
55.3%
65+
21.3%#T299
Housing tenure
Renters
47.6%#51
Owners
52.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
13.3%#78
High school
20.0%#222
College/trades
23.2%#320
Bachelor's
27.6%#78
Postgrad
15.9%#72
People & Economy
#144
French knowledge
10.3%
#58
Immigrants
39.6%
top 25%#128
Recent arrivals
4.3%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#98
Visible minority
35.2%
#T278
Indigenous
1.1%
bottom 25%#T238
Govt. transfers
10.6%
#T87
Self-employed
16.8%
Industry of employment
Public sector22.3%
Finance & prof18.4%
Trades & transport14.4%
Manufacturing5.3%
Resources0.2%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 17.2 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 93.3 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$1.6M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.3M/yr
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