ABLEANPrairies

Edmonton West

Kelly McCauley

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Conservative46%±6%·69% win

Liberal42%±5%·31% win

NDP7%±6%·<1% win

Green3%±3%·<1% win

People's2%±3%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Median income

$65,500

#41 of 343top 25%

Renters

28.7%

Under 35

17.9%

Top industry

Public sector · 27.8%

Area

75 km²

GE45 result

Margin

12.2%

Competitive

87.8/100

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#41

Median income

$65,500

top 25%

#T109

Avg 2BR rent

$1700/mo

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T98

Unemployment

11.9%

#T123

Shelter stressed

22.3%

#159

Renters

28.7%

Age distribution

Under 35

17.9%#96

35–64

60.7%

65+

21.3%#T299

Housing tenure

Renters

28.7%#159

Owners

71.3%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

7.8%#T231

High school

22.7%#180

College/trades

31.3%#218

Bachelor's

26.0%#100

Postgrad

12.2%#123

People & Economy

#T222

French knowledge

6.5%

#97

Immigrants

31.9%

#T51

Recent arrivals

6.7%

top 25%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#87

Visible minority

38.4%

#93

Indigenous

5.4%

#303

Govt. transfers

8.3%

bottom 25%

#T146

Self-employed

14.4%

Industry of employment

Public sector27.8%

Trades & transport17.5%

Finance & prof12.3%

Manufacturing4.7%

Resources1.9%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Low

Index: 17.4 / 100

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Elevated

Index: 129.8 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$6.0M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$5.4M/yr

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