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NSSAFEAtlantic
Halifax
S
Shannon Miedema
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal66%±6%·>99% win
NDP18%±5%·<1% win
Conservative11%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Under 35
36.4%
#7 of 343top 5%
Median income
$52,900
Renters
61.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 35.5%
Area
663 km²
GE45 result
Margin
43.9%
Competitive
56.1/100
Key issues
Housing affordability61.1% renters
Employment13.8% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#161
Median income
$52,900
#76
Avg 2BR rent
$1858/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T39
Unemployment
13.8%
top 25%#24
Shelter stressed
31.6%
top 10%#16
Renters
61.1%
top 5%Age distribution
Under 35
36.4%#7
35–64
42.7%
65+
20.9%#304
Housing tenure
Renters
61.1%#16
Owners
38.9%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
5.7%#T283
High school
16.7%#285
College/trades
22.0%#325
Bachelor's
32.7%#33
Postgrad
22.8%#23
People & Economy
#105
French knowledge
15.3%
#193
Immigrants
13.7%
#96
Recent arrivals
5.3%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#153
Visible minority
22.9%
#155
Indigenous
3.2%
#T281
Govt. transfers
9.0%
bottom 25%#235
Self-employed
12.0%
Industry of employment
Public sector35.5%
Finance & prof17.3%
Trades & transport9.5%
Manufacturing3.1%
Resources0.9%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 65.5 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 0 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 94.9 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$14.2M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$12.7M/yr
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