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ONSWINGOntario
Hamilton Centre
A
Aslam Rana
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal44%±6%·98% win
NDP29%±6%·2% win
Conservative21%±5%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Under 35
25.6%
#23 of 343top 10%
Median income
$44,640
Renters
55.7%
Top industry
Public sector · 26.2%
Area
66 km²
GE45 result
Margin
7.6%
Competitive
92.4/100
Key issues
Housing affordability55.7% renters
Employment13.9% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#303
Median income
$44,640
bottom 25%#T226
Avg 2BR rent
$1322/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#38
Unemployment
13.9%
top 25%#36
Shelter stressed
29.9%
top 25%#31
Renters
55.7%
top 10%Age distribution
Under 35
25.6%#23
35–64
52.1%
65+
22.3%#284
Housing tenure
Renters
55.7%#31
Owners
44.3%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
15.4%#52
High school
26.4%#128
College/trades
29.8%#243
Bachelor's
18.0%#187
Postgrad
10.3%#148
People & Economy
#T189
French knowledge
7.4%
#T144
Immigrants
22.1%
#T117
Recent arrivals
4.5%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#146
Visible minority
24.3%
#122
Indigenous
4.2%
#T66
Govt. transfers
16.9%
top 25%#265
Self-employed
11.1%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector26.2%
Trades & transport17.4%
Manufacturing11.6%
Finance & prof10.5%
Resources1.0%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 55.0 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 78.4 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$3.1M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$10.2M/yr
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