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ONTOSSUPOntario
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek
N
Ned Kuruc
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal48%±6%·84% win
Conservative41%±6%·16% win
NDP6%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Manufacturing
13.6%
#33 of 343top 10%
Median income
$49,320
Renters
30.6%
Under 35
12.5%
Top industry
Public sector · 24.4%
Area
80 km²
GE45 result
Margin
2.2%
Competitive
97.8/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare29.9% aged 65+
Employment12.9% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#217
Median income
$49,320
#T157
Avg 2BR rent
$1522/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T63
Unemployment
12.9%
top 25%#110
Shelter stressed
23.1%
#134
Renters
30.6%
Age distribution
Under 35
12.5%#255
35–64
57.5%
65+
29.9%#124
Housing tenure
Renters
30.6%#134
Owners
69.3%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
11.0%#137
High school
27.0%#122
College/trades
35.7%#T160
Bachelor's
18.2%#T183
Postgrad
8.1%#193
People & Economy
#T302
French knowledge
4.4%
bottom 25%#98
Immigrants
31.9%
#140
Recent arrivals
3.9%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#129
Visible minority
27.3%
#T216
Indigenous
1.8%
#T107
Govt. transfers
15.4%
#T205
Self-employed
12.6%
Industry of employment
Public sector24.4%
Trades & transport20.0%
Manufacturing13.6%
Finance & prof10.5%
Resources0.7%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 33.9 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 78.4 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.4M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$10.2M/yr
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