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QCSAFEQuebec
Lac-Saint-Louis
F
Francis Scarpaleggia
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal70%±7%·>99% win
Conservative16%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois4%±4%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Median income
$66,200
#36 of 343top 25%
Renters
23.6%
Under 35
7.9%
Top industry
Public sector · 22.7%
Area
127 km²
GE45 result
Margin
43.9%
Competitive
56.1/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare31.1% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#36
Median income
$66,200
top 25%#T173
Avg 2BR rent
$1485/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T241
Unemployment
8.5%
#207
Shelter stressed
17.6%
#233
Renters
23.6%
Age distribution
Under 35
7.9%#338
35–64
61.0%
65+
31.1%#T103
Housing tenure
Renters
23.6%#233
Owners
76.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
4.1%#324
High school
15.2%#315
College/trades
28.2%#259
Bachelor's
32.8%#31
Postgrad
19.7%#41
People & Economy
#76
French knowledge
76.1%
top 25%#105
Immigrants
30.3%
#141
Recent arrivals
3.9%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#119
Visible minority
30.3%
#T298
Indigenous
0.8%
bottom 25%#T281
Govt. transfers
9.0%
bottom 25%#T117
Self-employed
15.6%
Industry of employment
Public sector22.7%#266
Finance & prof18.1%#54
Manufacturing10.0%#T93
Trades & transport10.0%#312
Resources0.5%#275
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 60.0 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$5.8M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.1M/yr
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