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QCSAFEQuebec
Laurier—Sainte-Marie
S
Steven Guilbeault
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal56%±6%·>99% win
NDP20%±5%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois15%±5%·<1% win
Green5%±4%·<1% win
Conservative3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Renters
71.9%
#3 of 343top 5%
Median income
$55,000
Under 35
37.4%
Top industry
Public sector · 25.2%
Area
21 km²
GE45 result
Margin
33.3%
Competitive
66.7/100
Key issues
Housing affordability71.9% renters
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#125
Median income
$55,000
#235
Avg 2BR rent
$1283/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T148
Unemployment
10.6%
#37
Shelter stressed
29.8%
top 25%#3
Renters
71.9%
top 5%Age distribution
Under 35
37.4%#4
35–64
46.6%
65+
16.0%#334
Housing tenure
Renters
71.9%#3
Owners
28.1%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
5.4%#291
High school
10.2%#340
College/trades
24.2%#306
Bachelor's
28.9%#60
Postgrad
31.2%#5
People & Economy
#62
French knowledge
89.4%
top 25%#129
Immigrants
25.0%
#61
Recent arrivals
6.4%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#139
Visible minority
25.4%
#T268
Indigenous
1.2%
bottom 25%#T281
Govt. transfers
9.0%
bottom 25%#135
Self-employed
14.8%
Industry of employment
Public sector25.2%
Finance & prof24.7%
Trades & transport5.1%
Manufacturing4.5%
Resources0.6%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 59.5 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$6.3M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.6M/yr
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