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QCLEANQuebec
Lévis—Lotbinière
J
Jacques Gourde
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative40%±6%·89% win
Liberal32%±5%·11% win
Bloc Québécois18%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
French knowledge
99.8%
#4 of 343top 5%
Median income
$56,300
Renters
25.0%
Under 35
16.4%
Top industry
Public sector · 30.6%
Area
1,196 km²
GE45 result
Margin
18.3%
Competitive
81.7/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare26.0% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#107
Median income
$56,300
#293
Avg 2BR rent
$1078/mo
bottom 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#343
Unemployment
4.6%
bottom 5%#335
Shelter stressed
9.5%
bottom 5%#211
Renters
25.0%
Age distribution
Under 35
16.4%#T128
35–64
57.5%
65+
26.0%#207
Housing tenure
Renters
25.0%#211
Owners
75.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
6.6%#261
High school
13.6%#328
College/trades
50.4%#14
Bachelor's
20.0%#159
Postgrad
9.5%#165
People & Economy
#4
French knowledge
99.8%
top 5%#318
Immigrants
2.9%
bottom 10%#T295
Recent arrivals
0.6%
bottom 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#307
Visible minority
3.0%
bottom 25%#263
Indigenous
1.4%
bottom 25%#T191
Govt. transfers
12.0%
#296
Self-employed
10.1%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector30.6%
Trades & transport16.3%
Finance & prof14.3%
Manufacturing10.7%
Resources2.1%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 22.7 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 1 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.2M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$3.3M/yr
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