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ONSAFEOntario
Nepean
M
Mark Carney
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal67%±6%·>99% win
Conservative24%±5%·<1% win
NDP4%±4%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Public sector
41.1%
#16 of 343top 5%
Median income
$62,500
Renters
20.3%
Under 35
13.9%
Top industry
Public sector · 41.1%
Area
86 km²
GE45 result
Margin
30.6%
Competitive
69.4/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#57
Median income
$62,500
top 25%#T193
Avg 2BR rent
$1430/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T167
Unemployment
10.2%
#231
Shelter stressed
16.2%
#270
Renters
20.3%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
13.9%#T202
35–64
66.2%
65+
19.9%#313
Housing tenure
Renters
20.3%#270
Owners
79.7%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
4.6%#T308
High school
17.4%#273
College/trades
29.1%#248
Bachelor's
30.8%#47
Postgrad
18.1%#55
People & Economy
#94
French knowledge
29.0%
#102
Immigrants
31.6%
#92
Recent arrivals
5.4%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#73
Visible minority
42.6%
top 25%#209
Indigenous
2.0%
#T308
Govt. transfers
7.9%
bottom 25%#263
Self-employed
11.2%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector41.1%
Finance & prof15.3%
Trades & transport9.9%
Manufacturing3.4%
Resources0.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 44.0 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 78.7 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$7.9M/yr
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