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Oxford
A
Arpan Khanna
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative46%±6%·75% win
Liberal42%±5%·25% win
NDP6%±6%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Manufacturing
21.4%
#4 of 343top 5%
Median income
$50,720
Renters
26.6%
Under 35
15.4%
Top industry
Manufacturing · 21.4%
Area
2,164 km²
GE45 result
Margin
15.2%
Competitive
84.8/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare30.7% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T196
Median income
$50,720
#56
Avg 2BR rent
$1945/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T157
Unemployment
10.4%
#211
Shelter stressed
17.4%
#186
Renters
26.6%
Age distribution
Under 35
15.4%#T157
35–64
54.0%
65+
30.7%#113
Housing tenure
Renters
26.6%#186
Owners
73.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
12.1%#95
High school
31.7%#32
College/trades
39.6%#T101
Bachelor's
12.2%#T287
Postgrad
4.4%#301
People & Economy
#312
French knowledge
4.2%
bottom 10%#216
Immigrants
11.4%
#T253
Recent arrivals
1.1%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#T230
Visible minority
7.7%
#190
Indigenous
2.3%
#T130
Govt. transfers
14.4%
#140
Self-employed
14.6%
Industry of employment
Trades & transport22.5%
Manufacturing21.4%
Public sector19.2%
Finance & prof7.3%
Resources6.6%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 35.9 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$2.2M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$3.6M/yr
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