ONLEANOntario

Peterborough

Emma Harrison

Liberal

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Liberal59%±6%·>99% win

Conservative31%±5%·<1% win

NDP5%±5%·<1% win

Green3%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±2%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

65+

36.0%

#34 of 343top 10%

Median income

$49,160

Renters

30.4%

Under 35

15.3%

Top industry

Public sector · 30.6%

Area

2,183 km²

GE45 result

Margin

13.3%

Competitive

86.7/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare36.0% aged 65+

Employment13.2% unemployment

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#219

Median income

$49,160

#201

Avg 2BR rent

$1407/mo

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T55

Unemployment

13.2%

top 25%

#128

Shelter stressed

22.1%

#140

Renters

30.4%

Age distribution

Under 35

15.3%#160

35–64

48.7%

65+

36.0%#T34

Housing tenure

Renters

30.4%#140

Owners

69.5%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

8.8%#197

High school

27.6%#108

College/trades

37.6%#138

Bachelor's

18.2%#T183

Postgrad

7.7%#T198

People & Economy

#197

French knowledge

7.0%

#243

Immigrants

8.6%

#259

Recent arrivals

1.0%

bottom 25%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#232

Visible minority

7.1%

#103

Indigenous

5.2%

#T68

Govt. transfers

16.7%

top 25%

#142

Self-employed

14.6%

Industry of employment

Public sector30.6%

Trades & transport17.6%

Finance & prof8.1%

Manufacturing6.8%

Resources2.6%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

High

Index: 36.1 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Low

Index: 1 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Elevated

Index: 138.3 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$3.0M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$6.5M/yr

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