← Map
NSSAFEAtlantic
Sackville—Bedford—Preston
B
Braedon Clark
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal65%±6%·>99% win
Conservative23%±5%·<1% win
NDP6%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Avg 2BR rent
$2462/mo
#12 of 343top 5%
Median income
$56,550
Renters
26.1%
Under 35
14.2%
Top industry
Public sector · 31.0%
Area
656 km²
GE45 result
Margin
29.6%
Competitive
70.4/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare25.7% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T104
Median income
$56,550
#12
Avg 2BR rent
$2462/mo
top 5%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T176
Unemployment
10.0%
#230
Shelter stressed
16.2%
#T192
Renters
26.1%
Age distribution
Under 35
14.2%#188
35–64
60.2%
65+
25.7%#T217
Housing tenure
Renters
26.1%#T192
Owners
73.8%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
5.9%#281
High school
22.6%#182
College/trades
35.2%#169
Bachelor's
24.8%#T111
Postgrad
11.5%#T133
People & Economy
#131
French knowledge
11.3%
#T228
Immigrants
9.9%
#163
Recent arrivals
3.1%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#197
Visible minority
12.7%
#121
Indigenous
4.2%
#T265
Govt. transfers
9.7%
bottom 25%#271
Self-employed
11.0%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector31.0%
Trades & transport16.2%
Finance & prof13.5%
Manufacturing5.3%
Resources0.9%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 23.6 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 2 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$10.1M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.5M/yr
Explore similar ridings
Burnaby North—Seymour
LPCBC
Similar average rent and population density
Explore →Barrie South—Innisfil
CPCON
Similar population density and young adult share
Explore →Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam
LPCBC
Similar population density and renter share
Explore →Bowmanville—Oshawa North
CPCON
Similar median income and population density
Explore →