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BCSAFEBC
Victoria
W
Will Greaves
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal53%±6%·>99% win
NDP31%±5%·<1% win
Conservative9%±5%·<1% win
Green5%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Public sector
37.3%
#21 of 343top 10%
Median income
$59,850
Renters
54.0%
Under 35
22.9%
Top industry
Public sector · 37.3%
Area
431 km²
GE45 result
Margin
29.4%
Competitive
70.6/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare30.9% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#73
Median income
$59,850
top 25%#34
Avg 2BR rent
$2061/mo
top 10%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T259
Unemployment
8.1%
bottom 25%#23
Shelter stressed
31.9%
top 10%#36
Renters
54.0%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
22.9%#40
35–64
46.2%
65+
30.9%#T109
Housing tenure
Renters
54.0%#36
Owners
46.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
4.9%#T301
High school
18.9%#T243
College/trades
25.3%#296
Bachelor's
30.4%#49
Postgrad
20.5%#34
People & Economy
#112
French knowledge
13.7%
#153
Immigrants
20.5%
#160
Recent arrivals
3.3%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#169
Visible minority
17.1%
#117
Indigenous
4.3%
#T259
Govt. transfers
9.9%
bottom 25%#68
Self-employed
17.7%
top 25%Industry of employment
Public sector37.3%
Finance & prof14.6%
Trades & transport10.1%
Manufacturing2.8%
Resources0.9%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 81.0 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 0 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 91.2 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$5.2M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$5.8M/yr
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