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ONSAFEOntario
Waterloo
B
Bardish Chagger
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal64%±6%·>99% win
Conservative24%±5%·<1% win
NDP6%±6%·<1% win
Green5%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Under 35
26.8%
#16 of 343top 5%
Median income
$60,250
Renters
38.7%
Top industry
Public sector · 25.5%
Area
68 km²
GE45 result
Margin
26.9%
Competitive
73.1/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#67
Median income
$60,250
top 25%#64
Avg 2BR rent
$1926/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T93
Unemployment
12.0%
#92
Shelter stressed
24.0%
#90
Renters
38.7%
Age distribution
Under 35
26.8%#16
35–64
51.3%
65+
21.9%#289
Housing tenure
Renters
38.7%#90
Owners
61.3%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
4.6%#310
High school
16.9%#281
College/trades
24.0%#309
Bachelor's
31.0%#45
Postgrad
23.5%#19
People & Economy
#157
French knowledge
8.8%
#115
Immigrants
27.5%
#87
Recent arrivals
5.6%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#100
Visible minority
35.0%
#264
Indigenous
1.3%
bottom 25%#T299
Govt. transfers
8.4%
bottom 25%#229
Self-employed
12.1%
Industry of employment
Public sector25.5%
Finance & prof21.9%
Manufacturing10.7%
Trades & transport10.4%
Resources0.7%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 48.7 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 76.2 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$6.4M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$3.8M/yr
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