ONSWINGOntario

Bay of Quinte

Chris Malette

Liberal

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Liberal55%±6%·>99% win

Conservative34%±5%·<1% win

NDP6%±6%·<1% win

Green4%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±2%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

65+

36.4%

#29 of 343top 10%

Median income

$48,920

Renters

31.9%

Under 35

13.5%

Top industry

Public sector · 29.7%

Area

2,946 km²

GE45 result

Margin

5.7%

Competitive

94.3/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare36.4% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#224

Median income

$48,920

#231

Avg 2BR rent

$1307/mo

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T119

Unemployment

11.3%

#176

Shelter stressed

19.5%

#127

Renters

31.9%

Age distribution

Under 35

13.5%#T213

35–64

50.1%

65+

36.4%#29

Housing tenure

Renters

31.9%#127

Owners

68.2%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

10.8%#143

High school

31.2%#38

College/trades

39.7%#T98

Bachelor's

13.2%#271

Postgrad

5.1%#274

People & Economy

#T184

French knowledge

7.5%

#241

Immigrants

8.9%

#T280

Recent arrivals

0.8%

bottom 25%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#246

Visible minority

6.3%

#105

Indigenous

5.0%

#T49

Govt. transfers

17.7%

top 25%

#149

Self-employed

14.4%

Industry of employment

Public sector29.7%

Trades & transport18.1%

Manufacturing11.4%

Finance & prof7.3%

Resources2.5%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Very high

Index: 60.7 / 100

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Below average

Index: 61.8 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$7.4M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$5.7M/yr

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