← Map
ABSAFEPrairies
Bow River
D
David Bexte
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative70%±6%·>99% win
Liberal21%±4%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's1%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Resource sector
16.0%
#14 of 343top 5%
Median income
$55,050
Renters
18.8%
Under 35
14.8%
Top industry
Public sector · 19.5%
Area
21,494 km²
GE45 result
Margin
62.0%
Competitive
38.0/100
Key issues
Energy & natural resources16.0% resource sector
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T121
Median income
$55,050
#124
Avg 2BR rent
$1640/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T191
Unemployment
9.6%
#203
Shelter stressed
17.8%
#T288
Renters
18.8%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
14.8%#178
35–64
62.6%
65+
22.5%#282
Housing tenure
Renters
18.8%#T288
Owners
78.6%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
17.3%#30
High school
31.0%#40
College/trades
34.1%#T183
Bachelor's
13.1%#275
Postgrad
4.5%#298
People & Economy
#334
French knowledge
2.9%
bottom 5%#T166
Immigrants
19.1%
#161
Recent arrivals
3.2%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#163
Visible minority
20.4%
#74
Indigenous
6.8%
top 25%#T231
Govt. transfers
10.9%
#T39
Self-employed
19.4%
top 25%Industry of employment
Trades & transport22.1%
Public sector19.5%
Resources16.0%
Manufacturing9.7%
Finance & prof7.6%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 24.5 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 9 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 80.0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$3.6M/yr
Explore similar ridings