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ONTOSSUPOntario
Kitchener—Conestoga
T
Tim Louis
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal53%±6%·99% win
Conservative37%±6%·1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Manufacturing
14.2%
#29 of 343top 10%
Median income
$57,150
Renters
18.9%
Under 35
14.5%
Top industry
Public sector · 22.2%
Area
951 km²
GE45 result
Margin
0.8%
Competitive
99.2/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T98
Median income
$57,150
#103
Avg 2BR rent
$1743/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T249
Unemployment
8.3%
#248
Shelter stressed
15.1%
#287
Renters
18.9%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
14.5%#182
35–64
60.6%
65+
24.9%#T235
Housing tenure
Renters
18.9%#287
Owners
81.1%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
11.3%#T127
High school
22.5%#189
College/trades
34.5%#178
Bachelor's
21.6%#139
Postgrad
10.0%#157
People & Economy
#266
French knowledge
5.3%
bottom 25%#149
Immigrants
21.6%
#159
Recent arrivals
3.3%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#161
Visible minority
20.6%
#259
Indigenous
1.4%
bottom 25%#T256
Govt. transfers
10.1%
#107
Self-employed
15.8%
Industry of employment
Public sector22.2%
Trades & transport18.0%
Finance & prof14.5%
Manufacturing14.2%
Resources4.5%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 39.3 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$3.5M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.0M/yr
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