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ONLEANOntario
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound
A
Alex Ruff
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative45%±6%·65% win
Liberal43%±6%·35% win
NDP6%±6%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
65+
38.2%
#12 of 343top 5%
Median income
$48,760
Renters
21.6%
Under 35
12.0%
Top industry
Public sector · 22.9%
Area
10,251 km²
GE45 result
Margin
12.9%
Competitive
87.1/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare38.2% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#227
Median income
$48,760
#269
Avg 2BR rent
$1174/mo
bottom 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T214
Unemployment
9.1%
#188
Shelter stressed
18.6%
#257
Renters
21.6%
Age distribution
Under 35
12.0%#269
35–64
49.9%
65+
38.2%#12
Housing tenure
Renters
21.6%#257
Owners
77.9%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
13.7%#71
High school
30.7%#T46
College/trades
39.2%#111
Bachelor's
11.7%#294
Postgrad
4.7%#293
People & Economy
#T269
French knowledge
5.2%
bottom 25%#T251
Immigrants
7.8%
#304
Recent arrivals
0.5%
bottom 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#T283
Visible minority
3.9%
bottom 25%#T136
Indigenous
3.9%
#T61
Govt. transfers
17.1%
top 25%#25
Self-employed
20.8%
top 10%Industry of employment
Trades & transport23.5%
Public sector22.9%
Manufacturing10.1%
Finance & prof7.2%
Resources7.0%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 47.6 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$34.3M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$3.1M/yr
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