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PELEANAtlantic
Cardigan
K
Kent MacDonald
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal61%±6%·>99% win
Conservative29%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Drive to work
88.2%
#20 of 343top 10%
Median income
$47,680
Renters
19.4%
Under 35
13.7%
Top industry
Public sector · 32.3%
Area
4,089 km²
GE45 result
Margin
19.6%
Competitive
80.4/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare32.0% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T253
Median income
$47,680
#247
Avg 2BR rent
$1249/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T173
Unemployment
10.1%
#303
Shelter stressed
12.3%
bottom 25%#283
Renters
19.4%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
13.7%#T208
35–64
54.3%
65+
32.0%#87
Housing tenure
Renters
19.4%#283
Owners
80.2%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
8.9%#T191
High school
24.4%#149
College/trades
39.1%#112
Bachelor's
18.1%#186
Postgrad
9.4%#T166
People & Economy
#T141
French knowledge
10.4%
#269
Immigrants
6.6%
bottom 25%#190
Recent arrivals
2.4%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#T263
Visible minority
5.6%
bottom 25%#T170
Indigenous
2.8%
#43
Govt. transfers
17.9%
top 25%#123
Self-employed
15.4%
Industry of employment
Public sector32.3%
Trades & transport18.6%
Resources13.3%
Finance & prof7.3%
Manufacturing6.6%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 43.9 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.6M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.4M/yr
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