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PESAFEAtlantic
Malpeque
H
Heath MacDonald
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal61%±6%·>99% win
Conservative27%±5%·<1% win
Green5%±5%·<1% win
NDP4%±5%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Drive to work
89.5%
#6 of 343top 5%
Median income
$47,840
Renters
17.6%
Under 35
13.9%
Top industry
Public sector · 31.4%
Area
2,514 km²
GE45 result
Margin
21.0%
Competitive
79.0/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare29.7% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#250
Median income
$47,840
#T219
Avg 2BR rent
$1355/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T191
Unemployment
9.6%
#305
Shelter stressed
12.2%
bottom 25%#302
Renters
17.6%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
13.9%#T199
35–64
56.3%
65+
29.7%#134
Housing tenure
Renters
17.6%#302
Owners
82.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
7.7%#234
High school
25.5%#139
College/trades
41.1%#73
Bachelor's
18.2%#185
Postgrad
7.5%#202
People & Economy
#119
French knowledge
12.7%
#278
Immigrants
6.0%
bottom 25%#227
Recent arrivals
1.5%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#276
Visible minority
4.7%
bottom 25%#T236
Indigenous
1.6%
#T111
Govt. transfers
15.2%
#159
Self-employed
14.1%
Industry of employment
Public sector31.4%
Trades & transport19.4%
Resources9.6%
Manufacturing7.7%
Finance & prof7.4%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 41.2 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$2.0M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.0M/yr
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