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ONLEANOntario
Burlington
K
Karina Gould
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal60%±6%·>99% win
Conservative31%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Median income
$66,100
#37 of 343top 25%
Renters
30.5%
Under 35
10.6%
Top industry
Public sector · 23.4%
Area
85 km²
GE45 result
Margin
15.2%
Competitive
84.8/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare35.7% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#37
Median income
$66,100
top 25%#T59
Avg 2BR rent
$1935/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T138
Unemployment
10.8%
#89
Shelter stressed
24.5%
#135
Renters
30.5%
Age distribution
Under 35
10.6%#302
35–64
53.7%
65+
35.7%#41
Housing tenure
Renters
30.5%#135
Owners
69.5%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
5.0%#298
High school
21.3%#206
College/trades
32.7%#205
Bachelor's
27.7%#77
Postgrad
13.3%#106
People & Economy
#161
French knowledge
8.4%
#133
Immigrants
23.6%
#169
Recent arrivals
2.9%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#175
Visible minority
16.6%
#T257
Indigenous
1.4%
#T259
Govt. transfers
9.9%
bottom 25%#127
Self-employed
15.2%
Industry of employment
Public sector23.4%
Finance & prof17.3%
Trades & transport13.8%
Manufacturing9.4%
Resources0.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 27.4 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$4.0M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$4.5M/yr
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