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ABTOSSUPPrairies
Calgary Confederation
C
Corey Hogan
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal52%±6%·98% win
Conservative36%±6%·2% win
NDP6%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Median income
$75,400
#14 of 343top 5%
Renters
45.5%
Under 35
25.8%
Top industry
Public sector · 27.6%
Area
53 km²
GE45 result
Margin
1.8%
Competitive
98.2/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#14
Median income
$75,400
top 5%#85
Avg 2BR rent
$1825/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T93
Unemployment
12.0%
#79
Shelter stressed
25.2%
top 25%#59
Renters
45.5%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
25.8%#21
35–64
52.7%
65+
21.6%#294
Housing tenure
Renters
45.5%#59
Owners
54.5%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
4.7%#307
High school
16.3%#299
College/trades
23.3%#318
Bachelor's
35.2%#15
Postgrad
20.6%#32
People & Economy
#140
French knowledge
10.6%
#151
Immigrants
20.8%
#129
Recent arrivals
4.3%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#135
Visible minority
26.1%
#140
Indigenous
3.7%
#329
Govt. transfers
6.5%
bottom 5%#75
Self-employed
17.3%
top 25%Industry of employment
Public sector27.6%
Finance & prof18.7%
Trades & transport11.4%
Resources6.3%
Manufacturing3.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 12.3 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 80.0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$18.8M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.0M/yr
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