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PESAFEAtlantic
Charlottetown
S
Sean Casey
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal68%±7%·>99% win
Conservative20%±5%·<1% win
NDP6%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Retail & service
23.3%
#3 of 343top 5%
Median income
$46,160
Renters
54.1%
Under 35
22.7%
Top industry
Public sector · 33.4%
Area
55 km²
GE45 result
Margin
35.7%
Competitive
64.3/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare29.3% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T277
Median income
$46,160
bottom 25%#213
Avg 2BR rent
$1385/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T189
Unemployment
9.7%
#99
Shelter stressed
23.7%
#35
Renters
54.1%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
22.7%#44
35–64
48.0%
65+
29.3%#141
Housing tenure
Renters
54.1%#35
Owners
45.8%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
6.0%#278
High school
21.6%#203
College/trades
32.7%#204
Bachelor's
26.1%#97
Postgrad
13.7%#97
People & Economy
#114
French knowledge
13.2%
#190
Immigrants
14.0%
#43
Recent arrivals
7.1%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#157
Visible minority
21.8%
#208
Indigenous
2.0%
#T111
Govt. transfers
15.2%
#T302
Self-employed
9.9%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector33.4%
Trades & transport12.2%
Finance & prof10.7%
Manufacturing5.3%
Resources1.9%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 39.1 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$60.5M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$3.3M/yr
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