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NBSAFEAtlantic
Moncton—Dieppe
G
Ginette Petitpas Taylor
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal66%±7%·>99% win
Conservative22%±5%·<1% win
NDP6%±6%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Retail & service
20.8%
#19 of 343top 10%
Median income
$46,240
Renters
44.4%
Under 35
21.7%
Top industry
Public sector · 28.4%
Area
171 km²
GE45 result
Margin
31.8%
Competitive
68.2/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare27.1% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T274
Median income
$46,240
bottom 25%#185
Avg 2BR rent
$1457/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T224
Unemployment
8.9%
#162
Shelter stressed
20.3%
#63
Renters
44.4%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
21.7%#T53
35–64
51.2%
65+
27.1%#186
Housing tenure
Renters
44.4%#63
Owners
55.6%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
8.1%#219
High school
25.3%#143
College/trades
35.1%#171
Bachelor's
21.3%#143
Postgrad
10.2%#T150
People & Economy
#86
French knowledge
50.0%
#219
Immigrants
10.9%
#75
Recent arrivals
5.9%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#183
Visible minority
14.6%
#173
Indigenous
2.7%
#T137
Govt. transfers
14.2%
#319
Self-employed
8.8%
bottom 10%Industry of employment
Public sector28.4%
Trades & transport13.7%
Finance & prof12.4%
Manufacturing5.2%
Resources1.5%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 19.3 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 0 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
ElevatedIndex: 120.5 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$3.6M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.4M/yr
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