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ABLEANPrairies
Edmonton Southeast
J
Jagsharan Singh Mahal
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative46%±6%·75% win
Liberal41%±5%·25% win
NDP7%±6%·<1% win
People's3%±3%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Retail & service
20.7%
#22 of 343top 10%
Median income
$48,880
Renters
25.9%
Under 35
21.2%
Top industry
Public sector · 22.9%
Area
70 km²
GE45 result
Margin
14.1%
Competitive
85.9/100
Key issues
Immigration & settlement42.8% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#225
Median income
$48,880
#114
Avg 2BR rent
$1681/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T93
Unemployment
12.0%
#108
Shelter stressed
23.3%
#197
Renters
25.9%
Age distribution
Under 35
21.2%#60
35–64
62.0%
65+
16.8%#333
Housing tenure
Renters
25.9%#197
Owners
74.1%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
9.9%#T166
High school
25.4%#141
College/trades
31.0%#221
Bachelor's
23.1%#127
Postgrad
10.6%#145
People & Economy
#T277
French knowledge
5.0%
bottom 25%#45
Immigrants
42.8%
top 25%#17
Recent arrivals
9.0%
top 5%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#36
Visible minority
60.8%
top 25%#131
Indigenous
4.0%
#T226
Govt. transfers
11.0%
#T222
Self-employed
12.3%
Industry of employment
Trades & transport24.1%
Public sector22.9%
Finance & prof9.0%
Manufacturing7.5%
Resources2.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 14.4 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
ElevatedIndex: 129.8 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$3.8M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$5.4M/yr
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