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BCTOSSUPBC
Fleetwood—Port Kells
G
Gurbux Saini
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal47%±6%·95% win
Conservative35%±6%·5% win
NDP13%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Retail & service
19.5%
#54 of 343top 25%
Median income
$44,960
Renters
29.7%
Under 35
13.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 21.4%
Area
53 km²
GE45 result
Margin
3.7%
Competitive
96.3/100
Key issues
Immigration & settlement51.6% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#299
Median income
$44,960
bottom 25%#T193
Avg 2BR rent
$1430/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T247
Unemployment
8.4%
#88
Shelter stressed
24.6%
#146
Renters
29.7%
Age distribution
Under 35
13.1%#T232
35–64
63.1%
65+
23.8%#T260
Housing tenure
Renters
29.7%#146
Owners
70.3%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
11.5%#121
High school
27.3%#112
College/trades
27.5%#272
Bachelor's
22.7%#129
Postgrad
11.0%#143
People & Economy
#333
French knowledge
2.9%
bottom 5%#26
Immigrants
51.6%
top 10%#40
Recent arrivals
7.2%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#T17
Visible minority
75.8%
top 5%#T234
Indigenous
1.7%
#T187
Govt. transfers
12.2%
#139
Self-employed
14.7%
Industry of employment
Trades & transport21.5%#T83
Public sector21.4%#297
Finance & prof10.4%#174
Manufacturing9.1%#128
Resources1.6%#T184
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 24.9 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 104.3 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$2.0M/yr
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