BCLEANBC

Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola

Frank Caputo

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Conservative44%±6%·83% win

Liberal37%±6%·17% win

NDP13%±5%·<1% win

Green4%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±3%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Retail & service

20.4%

#30 of 343top 10%

Median income

$49,920

Renters

25.6%

Under 35

15.3%

Top industry

Public sector · 27.5%

Area

50,083 km²

GE45 result

Margin

11.3%

Competitive

88.7/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare32.8% aged 65+

Climate & wildfire riskWildfire index 1381 (Canada avg 100)

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#209

Median income

$49,920

#206

Avg 2BR rent

$1398/mo

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T241

Unemployment

8.5%

#193

Shelter stressed

18.3%

#205

Renters

25.6%

Age distribution

Under 35

15.3%#162

35–64

52.0%

65+

32.8%#70

Housing tenure

Renters

25.6%#205

Owners

72.7%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

10.1%#161

High school

32.5%#22

College/trades

37.8%#136

Bachelor's

13.2%#272

Postgrad

6.4%#232

People & Economy

#T297

French knowledge

4.6%

bottom 25%

#237

Immigrants

9.5%

#T247

Recent arrivals

1.2%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#224

Visible minority

8.8%

#24

Indigenous

16.3%

top 10%

#T117

Govt. transfers

15.0%

#150

Self-employed

14.3%

Industry of employment

Public sector27.5%

Trades & transport22.6%

Finance & prof7.5%

Resources7.3%

Manufacturing5.0%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Low

Index: 14.2 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Extreme

Index: 1381 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Average

Index: 104.3 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$3.2M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$2.5M/yr

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