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ONTOSSUPOntario
Kitchener South—Hespeler
M
Matt Strauss
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal48%±6%·86% win
Conservative40%±6%·14% win
NDP5%±6%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Manufacturing
17.1%
#16 of 343top 5%
Median income
$53,600
Renters
32.9%
Under 35
18.6%
Top industry
Public sector · 21.2%
Area
111 km²
GE45 result
Margin
1.7%
Competitive
98.3/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#148
Median income
$53,600
#113
Avg 2BR rent
$1687/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T138
Unemployment
10.8%
#126
Shelter stressed
22.2%
#118
Renters
32.9%
Age distribution
Under 35
18.6%#88
35–64
60.6%
65+
20.8%#305
Housing tenure
Renters
32.9%#118
Owners
67.1%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
9.2%#179
High school
25.2%#144
College/trades
32.8%#203
Bachelor's
21.7%#137
Postgrad
11.1%#141
People & Economy
#T255
French knowledge
5.6%
#110
Immigrants
29.6%
#73
Recent arrivals
6.0%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#104
Visible minority
33.9%
#T234
Indigenous
1.7%
#T226
Govt. transfers
11.0%
#255
Self-employed
11.5%
Industry of employment
Public sector21.2%
Trades & transport17.8%
Manufacturing17.1%
Finance & prof14.0%
Resources0.7%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 45.7 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$3.8M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.0M/yr
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