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NLSWINGAtlantic
Long Range Mountains
C
Carol Anstey
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal45%±6%·56% win
Conservative44%±6%·44% win
NDP7%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Unemployment
19.8%
#4 of 343top 5%
Median income
$41,600
Renters
22.9%
Under 35
10.8%
Top industry
Public sector · 35.2%
Area
57,889 km²
GE45 result
Margin
7.6%
Competitive
92.4/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare38.1% aged 65+
Employment19.8% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#323
Median income
$41,600
bottom 10%#315
Avg 2BR rent
$987/mo
bottom 10%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#4
Unemployment
19.8%
top 5%#T279
Shelter stressed
13.5%
bottom 25%#242
Renters
22.9%
Age distribution
Under 35
10.8%#298
35–64
51.1%
65+
38.1%#13
Housing tenure
Renters
22.9%#242
Owners
77.1%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
16.4%#41
High school
27.1%#118
College/trades
41.8%#67
Bachelor's
9.9%#330
Postgrad
4.9%#282
People & Economy
#325
French knowledge
3.6%
bottom 10%#327
Immigrants
1.7%
bottom 5%#T324
Recent arrivals
0.4%
bottom 10%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#332
Visible minority
1.6%
bottom 5%#12
Indigenous
25.6%
top 5%#T4
Govt. transfers
25.8%
top 5%#334
Self-employed
7.5%
bottom 5%Industry of employment
Public sector35.2%
Trades & transport21.3%
Resources8.7%
Manufacturing4.7%
Finance & prof4.2%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 40.3 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$2.5M/yr
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