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NSSWINGAtlantic
Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish
J
Jaime Battiste
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal56%±6%·>99% win
Conservative33%±6%·<1% win
NDP6%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
65+
39.8%
#7 of 343top 5%
Median income
$44,160
Renters
17.3%
Under 35
10.6%
Top industry
Public sector · 33.8%
Area
20,565 km²
GE45 result
Margin
8.4%
Competitive
91.6/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare39.8% aged 65+
Employment17.4% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#310
Median income
$44,160
bottom 10%#264
Avg 2BR rent
$1188/mo
bottom 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#10
Unemployment
17.4%
top 5%#311
Shelter stressed
11.5%
bottom 10%#304
Renters
17.3%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
10.6%#301
35–64
49.6%
65+
39.8%#7
Housing tenure
Renters
17.3%#304
Owners
78.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
11.6%#114
High school
24.2%#154
College/trades
41.6%#70
Bachelor's
15.2%#227
Postgrad
7.4%#205
People & Economy
#124
French knowledge
12.3%
#303
Immigrants
3.8%
bottom 25%#283
Recent arrivals
0.7%
bottom 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#298
Visible minority
3.3%
bottom 25%#34
Indigenous
12.8%
top 10%#11
Govt. transfers
22.0%
top 5%#279
Self-employed
10.7%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector33.8%
Trades & transport20.6%
Resources11.3%
Manufacturing5.7%
Finance & prof5.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 35.6 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 1 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$5.5M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.0M/yr
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