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QCTOSSUPQuebec
Longueuil—Saint-Hubert
N
Natilien Joseph
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal44%±6%·84% win
Bloc Québécois37%±6%·17% win
NDP7%±6%·<1% win
Conservative7%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
French knowledge
97.0%
#41 of 343top 25%
Median income
$52,400
Renters
46.3%
Under 35
16.8%
Top industry
Public sector · 28.2%
Area
63 km²
GE45 result
Margin
1.3%
Competitive
98.7/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare28.2% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T170
Median income
$52,400
#292
Avg 2BR rent
$1081/mo
bottom 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T277
Unemployment
7.4%
bottom 25%#226
Shelter stressed
16.6%
#54
Renters
46.3%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
16.8%#120
35–64
55.0%
65+
28.2%#168
Housing tenure
Renters
46.3%#54
Owners
53.7%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
10.9%#140
High school
15.6%#308
College/trades
39.3%#109
Bachelor's
20.7%#150
Postgrad
13.5%#103
People & Economy
#41
French knowledge
97.0%
top 25%#158
Immigrants
19.5%
#155
Recent arrivals
3.5%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#155
Visible minority
22.5%
#T270
Indigenous
1.2%
bottom 25%#T130
Govt. transfers
14.4%
#286
Self-employed
10.5%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector28.2%
Finance & prof14.7%
Trades & transport14.5%
Manufacturing8.8%
Resources0.4%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 43.3 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$1.0M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$5.6M/yr
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