QCSWINGQuebec

Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles

Pierre Paul-Hus

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Liberal37%±6%·57% win

Conservative36%±6%·43% win

Bloc Québécois18%±5%·<1% win

NDP5%±5%·<1% win

Green3%±3%·<1% win

People's2%±3%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

French knowledge

99.6%

#12 of 343top 5%

Median income

$51,500

Renters

35.3%

Under 35

15.6%

Top industry

Public sector · 36.5%

Area

125 km²

GE45 result

Margin

7.8%

Competitive

92.2/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare29.9% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#T184

Median income

$51,500

#297

Avg 2BR rent

$1064/mo

bottom 25%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T303

Unemployment

6.4%

bottom 25%

#290

Shelter stressed

12.9%

bottom 25%

#102

Renters

35.3%

Age distribution

Under 35

15.6%#T152

35–64

54.5%

65+

29.9%#T125

Housing tenure

Renters

35.3%#102

Owners

64.7%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

7.4%#239

High school

16.3%#298

College/trades

50.4%#13

Bachelor's

16.8%#205

Postgrad

9.0%#176

People & Economy

#12

French knowledge

99.6%

top 5%

#T274

Immigrants

6.4%

bottom 25%

#225

Recent arrivals

1.6%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#244

Visible minority

6.4%

#T210

Indigenous

1.9%

#T124

Govt. transfers

14.6%

#321

Self-employed

8.6%

bottom 10%

Industry of employment

Public sector36.5%

Trades & transport15.0%

Finance & prof11.8%

Manufacturing6.0%

Resources0.4%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Low

Index: 19.8 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Low

Index: 0 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Below average

Index: 79.2 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$4.8M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$5.5M/yr

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