QCSAFEQuebec

Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis

Dominique Vien

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Conservative42%±5%·97% win

Liberal31%±5%·3% win

Bloc Québécois18%±5%·<1% win

NDP5%±5%·<1% win

Green3%±3%·<1% win

People's2%±3%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

French knowledge

99.6%

#9 of 343top 5%

Median income

$48,960

Renters

33.9%

Under 35

15.1%

Top industry

Public sector · 26.4%

Area

3,345 km²

GE45 result

Margin

20.6%

Competitive

79.4/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare32.0% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#T222 / 343

Median income

$48,960

#320 / 343

Avg 2BR rent

$942/mo

bottom 10%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T320 / 343

Unemployment

5.8%

bottom 10%

#T315 / 343

Shelter stressed

11.0%

bottom 10%

#111 / 343

Renters

33.9%

Age distribution

Under 35

15.1%#170

35–64

52.9%

65+

32.0%#86

Housing tenure

Renters

33.9%#111

Owners

66.1%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

10.8%#144

High school

16.6%#287

College/trades

50.8%#11

Bachelor's

14.5%#240

Postgrad

7.3%#211

People & Economy

#T9 / 343

French knowledge

99.6%

top 5%

#313 / 343

Immigrants

3.1%

bottom 10%

#271 / 343

Recent arrivals

0.8%

bottom 25%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#290 / 343

Visible minority

3.6%

bottom 25%

#272 / 343

Indigenous

1.2%

bottom 25%

#T88 / 343

Govt. transfers

16.1%

#281 / 343

Self-employed

10.6%

bottom 25%

Industry of employment

Public sector26.4%#161

Trades & transport18.7%#161

Manufacturing15.4%#23

Finance & prof13.3%#115

Resources4.0%#T116

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Low

Index: 14.9 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Low

Index: 0 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Below average

Index: 79.2 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$17.3M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$8.8M/yr

Explore similar ridings

Saint-Jean

BQQC

Similar population density and unemployment rate

Explore →