SKSAFEPrairies

Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley

Jeremy Patzer

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Conservative73%±6%·>99% win

Liberal15%±4%·<1% win

NDP7%±4%·<1% win

Green3%±3%·<1% win

People's1%±2%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Resource sector

30.9%

#1 of 343top 5%

Median income

$50,400

Renters

19.4%

Under 35

16.5%

Top industry

Resources · 30.9%

Area

82,480 km²

GE45 result

Margin

70.8%

Competitive

29.2/100

Key issues

Energy & natural resources30.9% resource sector

Seniors & healthcare32.6% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#T202

Median income

$50,400

#T290

Avg 2BR rent

$1082/mo

bottom 25%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T329

Unemployment

5.4%

bottom 5%

#286

Shelter stressed

13.3%

bottom 25%

#282

Renters

19.4%

bottom 25%

Age distribution

Under 35

16.5%#125

35–64

50.9%

65+

32.6%#77

Housing tenure

Renters

19.4%#282

Owners

80.4%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

11.3%#T127

High school

33.7%#10

College/trades

38.5%#123

Bachelor's

12.9%#276

Postgrad

3.5%#T328

People & Economy

#336

French knowledge

2.8%

bottom 5%

#255

Immigrants

7.7%

#183

Recent arrivals

2.5%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#237

Visible minority

6.8%

#97

Indigenous

5.4%

#T171

Govt. transfers

13.2%

Self-employed

29.4%

top 5%

Industry of employment

Resources30.9%

Public sector21.9%

Trades & transport18.1%

Finance & prof6.0%

Manufacturing3.4%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Moderate

Index: 24.0 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Low

Index: 1 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Elevated

Index: 137.0 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$0.4M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$1.3M/yr

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