SKSAFEPrairies

Yorkton—Melville

Cathay Wagantall

Conservative

cathay.wagantall@parl.gc.ca 613-992-4394

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Conservative69%±6%·>99% win

Liberal18%±4%·<1% win

NDP7%±4%·<1% win

Green4%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±2%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Resource sector

23.5%

#4 of 343top 5%

Median income

$48,160

Renters

18.6%

Under 35

15.0%

Top industry

Public sector · 24.9%

Area

47,162 km²

GE45 result

Margin

63.1%

Competitive

36.9/100

Key issues

Energy & natural resources23.5% resource sector

Seniors & healthcare36.2% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#T241

Median income

$48,160

#T290

Avg 2BR rent

$1082/mo

bottom 25%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T287

Unemployment

7.0%

bottom 25%

#297

Shelter stressed

12.7%

bottom 25%

#291

Renters

18.6%

bottom 25%

Age distribution

Under 35

15.0%#T173

35–64

48.8%

65+

36.2%#32

Housing tenure

Renters

18.6%#291

Owners

78.7%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

13.9%#66

High school

36.1%#2

College/trades

35.5%#166

Bachelor's

11.4%#301

Postgrad

3.1%#339

People & Economy

#341

French knowledge

2.1%

bottom 5%

#273

Immigrants

6.5%

bottom 25%

#T220

Recent arrivals

1.8%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#249

Visible minority

6.3%

#37

Indigenous

12.6%

top 25%

#T71

Govt. transfers

16.6%

top 25%

Self-employed

23.1%

top 5%

Industry of employment

Public sector24.9%

Resources23.5%

Trades & transport19.9%

Finance & prof5.4%

Manufacturing5.3%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Low

Index: 17.5 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Moderate

Index: 11 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Elevated

Index: 137.0 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$1.3M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$0.3M/yr

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