QCLEANQuebec

Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville

Nathalie Provost

Liberal

nathalie.provost@parl.gc.ca 613-996-7265

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Liberal49%±6%·>99% win

Bloc Québécois27%±5%·<1% win

Conservative14%±5%·<1% win

NDP5%±5%·<1% win

Green3%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±3%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

French knowledge

92.4%

#58 of 343top 25%

Median income

$48,400

Renters

25.8%

Under 35

14.0%

Top industry

Public sector · 25.4%

Area

1,553 km²

GE45 result

Margin

16.1%

Competitive

83.9/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare28.3% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#T235

Median income

$48,400

#294

Avg 2BR rent

$1074/mo

bottom 25%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T303

Unemployment

6.4%

bottom 25%

#257

Shelter stressed

14.6%

#201

Renters

25.8%

Age distribution

Under 35

14.0%#196

35–64

57.7%

65+

28.3%#166

Housing tenure

Renters

25.8%#201

Owners

74.2%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

14.0%#65

High school

22.1%#196

College/trades

45.8%#42

Bachelor's

12.7%#280

Postgrad

5.4%#T262

People & Economy

#58

French knowledge

92.4%

top 25%

#208

Immigrants

12.3%

#240

Recent arrivals

1.3%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#194

Visible minority

13.2%

#T180

Indigenous

2.5%

#T78

Govt. transfers

16.4%

top 25%

#224

Self-employed

12.3%

Industry of employment

Public sector25.4%

Trades & transport22.2%

Manufacturing10.6%

Finance & prof9.1%

Resources4.4%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

High

Index: 39.9 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Low

Index: 1 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Below average

Index: 79.2 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$1.9M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$7.9M/yr

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