MBSAFEPrairies

Riding Mountain

Dan Mazier

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Conservative59%±6%·>99% win

Liberal26%±5%·<1% win

NDP9%±5%·<1% win

Green4%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±3%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Resource sector

19.7%

#8 of 343top 5%

Median income

$43,320

Renters

20.1%

Under 35

16.5%

Top industry

Public sector · 30.3%

Area

57,442 km²

GE45 result

Margin

45.6%

Competitive

54.4/100

Key issues

Energy & natural resources19.7% resource sector

Seniors & healthcare34.0% aged 65+

Climate & wildfire riskWildfire index 118 (Canada avg 100)

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#315

Median income

$43,320

bottom 10%

#295

Avg 2BR rent

$1073/mo

bottom 25%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T298

Unemployment

6.6%

bottom 25%

#320

Shelter stressed

10.7%

bottom 10%

#272

Renters

20.1%

bottom 25%

Age distribution

Under 35

16.5%#127

35–64

49.5%

65+

34.0%#55

Housing tenure

Renters

20.1%#272

Owners

71.9%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

18.9%#14

High school

33.8%#8

College/trades

32.9%#201

Bachelor's

10.8%#314

Postgrad

3.6%#T324

People & Economy

#318

French knowledge

4.0%

bottom 10%

#267

Immigrants

6.9%

bottom 25%

#187

Recent arrivals

2.5%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#252

Visible minority

6.2%

#11

Indigenous

28.3%

top 5%

#T36

Govt. transfers

18.3%

top 25%

#24

Self-employed

20.9%

top 10%

Industry of employment

Public sector30.3%

Resources19.7%

Trades & transport19.2%

Manufacturing7.5%

Finance & prof4.5%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Moderate

Index: 29.9 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

High

Index: 118 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

High severity

Index: 159.7 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$3.6M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$0.1M/yr

Explore similar ridings

Yorkton—Melville

CPCSK

Similar population density and average rent

Explore →