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MBSAFEPrairies
Riding Mountain
D
Dan Mazier
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative60%±6%·>99% win
Liberal25%±5%·<1% win
NDP9%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Resource sector
19.7%
#8 of 343top 5%
Median income
$43,320
Renters
20.1%
Under 35
16.5%
Top industry
Public sector · 30.3%
Area
57,442 km²
GE45 result
Margin
45.6%
Competitive
54.4/100
Key issues
Energy & natural resources19.7% resource sector
Seniors & healthcare34.0% aged 65+
Climate & wildfire riskWildfire index 118 (Canada avg 100)
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#315
Median income
$43,320
bottom 10%#295
Avg 2BR rent
$1073/mo
bottom 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T298
Unemployment
6.6%
bottom 25%#320
Shelter stressed
10.7%
bottom 10%#272
Renters
20.1%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
16.5%#127
35–64
49.5%
65+
34.0%#55
Housing tenure
Renters
20.1%#272
Owners
71.9%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
18.9%#14
High school
33.8%#8
College/trades
32.9%#201
Bachelor's
10.8%#314
Postgrad
3.6%#T324
People & Economy
#318
French knowledge
4.0%
bottom 10%#267
Immigrants
6.9%
bottom 25%#187
Recent arrivals
2.5%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#252
Visible minority
6.2%
#11
Indigenous
28.3%
top 5%#T36
Govt. transfers
18.3%
top 25%#24
Self-employed
20.9%
top 10%Industry of employment
Public sector30.3%#91
Resources19.7%#8
Trades & transport19.2%#146
Manufacturing7.5%#166
Finance & prof4.5%#332
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 29.9 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
HighIndex: 118 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
High severityIndex: 159.7 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$3.6M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.1M/yr
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