NBLEANAtlantic

Madawaska—Restigouche

Guillaume Deschênes-Thériault

Liberal

guillaume.deschenes-theriault@parl.gc.ca 613-995-0581

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Liberal59%±6%·>99% win

Conservative30%±5%·<1% win

NDP5%±6%·<1% win

People's3%±3%·<1% win

Green3%±3%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Govt. transfers

21.8%

#12 of 343top 5%

Median income

$41,520

Renters

25.4%

Under 35

12.3%

Top industry

Public sector · 33.1%

Area

13,722 km²

GE45 result

Margin

15.6%

Competitive

84.4/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare35.7% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#T324

Median income

$41,520

bottom 10%

#322

Avg 2BR rent

$933/mo

bottom 10%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T129

Unemployment

11.0%

#309

Shelter stressed

11.6%

bottom 10%

#208

Renters

25.4%

Age distribution

Under 35

12.3%#258

35–64

52.0%

65+

35.7%#40

Housing tenure

Renters

25.4%#208

Owners

74.0%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

15.5%#50

High school

28.3%#91

College/trades

40.4%#85

Bachelor's

11.3%#T304

Postgrad

4.4%#300

People & Economy

#64

French knowledge

88.3%

top 25%

#319

Immigrants

2.8%

bottom 10%

#T287

Recent arrivals

0.7%

bottom 25%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#318

Visible minority

2.2%

bottom 10%

#88

Indigenous

5.8%

#T12

Govt. transfers

21.8%

top 5%

#304

Self-employed

9.7%

bottom 25%

Industry of employment

Public sector33.1%

Trades & transport18.5%

Manufacturing12.5%

Resources6.6%

Finance & prof4.7%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Low

Index: 19.2 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Low

Index: 1 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Average

Index: 94.5 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$2.0M/yr

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