QCTOSSUPQuebec

Montmorency—Charlevoix

Gabriel Hardy

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Bloc Québécois31%±6%·42% win

Liberal31%±6%·38% win

Conservative28%±6%·20% win

NDP4%±5%·<1% win

Green3%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±3%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

French knowledge

99.8%

#5 of 343top 5%

Median income

$53,800

Renters

19.7%

Under 35

12.7%

Top industry

Public sector · 33.2%

Area

13,397 km²

GE45 result

Margin

0.9%

Competitive

99.1/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare31.1% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#T144

Median income

$53,800

#305

Avg 2BR rent

$1032/mo

bottom 25%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T312

Unemployment

6.2%

bottom 10%

#330

Shelter stressed

9.7%

bottom 5%

#279

Renters

19.7%

bottom 25%

Age distribution

Under 35

12.7%#251

35–64

56.1%

65+

31.1%#T103

Housing tenure

Renters

19.7%#279

Owners

80.3%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

9.0%#189

High school

16.3%#296

College/trades

50.9%#8

Bachelor's

15.9%#T216

Postgrad

7.9%#195

People & Economy

French knowledge

99.8%

top 5%

#315

Immigrants

3.0%

bottom 10%

#T299

Recent arrivals

0.6%

bottom 25%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#321

Visible minority

2.0%

bottom 10%

#226

Indigenous

1.8%

#T137

Govt. transfers

14.2%

#T198

Self-employed

12.8%

Industry of employment

Public sector33.2%

Trades & transport19.1%

Finance & prof10.3%

Manufacturing6.6%

Resources2.7%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Moderate

Index: 28.1 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Low

Index: 1 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Below average

Index: 71.0 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$3.2M/yr

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