ONLEANOntario

Huron—Bruce

Ben Lobb

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Conservative45%±6%·57% win

Liberal44%±6%·43% win

NDP6%±6%·<1% win

Green4%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±2%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

65+

37.0%

#23 of 343top 10%

Median income

$55,700

Renters

20.8%

Under 35

13.6%

Top industry

Self-employed · 19.8%

Area

6,268 km²

GE45 result

Margin

11.7%

Competitive

88.3/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare37.0% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#112

Median income

$55,700

#263

Avg 2BR rent

$1189/mo

bottom 25%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T289

Unemployment

6.9%

bottom 25%

#253

Shelter stressed

14.9%

#266

Renters

20.8%

bottom 25%

Age distribution

Under 35

13.6%#212

35–64

49.5%

65+

37.0%#23

Housing tenure

Renters

20.8%#266

Owners

79.2%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

12.3%#90

High school

26.8%#123

College/trades

41.6%#69

Bachelor's

14.2%#250

Postgrad

5.1%#275

People & Economy

#T316

French knowledge

4.1%

bottom 10%

#T258

Immigrants

7.5%

bottom 25%

#T301

Recent arrivals

0.6%

bottom 25%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#302

Visible minority

3.2%

bottom 25%

#T191

Indigenous

2.3%

#T145

Govt. transfers

13.9%

#32

Self-employed

19.8%

top 10%

Industry of employment

Trades & transport21.5%

Public sector19.6%

Resources12.3%

Manufacturing9.1%

Finance & prof7.2%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Moderate

Index: 33.7 / 100

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Below average

Index: 78.4 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$12.2M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$2.8M/yr

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