BCSAFEBC

North Vancouver—Capilano

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Liberal57%±6%·>99% win

Conservative26%±5%·<1% win

NDP12%±5%·<1% win

Green4%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±2%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Self-employed

21.9%

#15 of 343top 5%

Median income

$71,700

Renters

39.2%

Under 35

13.5%

Top industry

Public sector · 24.1%

Area

330 km²

GE45 result

Margin

26.1%

Competitive

73.9/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare30.2% aged 65+

Immigration & settlement38.2% immigrants

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#20 / 343

Median income

$71,700

top 10%

#199 / 343

Avg 2BR rent

$1410/mo

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T259 / 343

Unemployment

8.1%

bottom 25%

#19 / 343

Shelter stressed

33.0%

top 10%

#86 / 343

Renters

39.2%

Age distribution

Under 35

13.5%#217

35–64

56.3%

65+

30.2%#120

Housing tenure

Renters

39.2%#86

Owners

60.0%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

2.6%#340

High school

17.2%#274

College/trades

26.3%#283

Bachelor's

33.4%#28

Postgrad

20.5%#33

People & Economy

#148 / 343

French knowledge

9.9%

#66 / 343

Immigrants

38.2%

top 25%

#89 / 343

Recent arrivals

5.5%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#96 / 343

Visible minority

36.1%

#163 / 343

Indigenous

2.9%

#T323 / 343

Govt. transfers

6.9%

bottom 10%

#15 / 343

Self-employed

21.9%

top 5%

Industry of employment

Public sector24.1%#227

Finance & prof21.0%#32

Trades & transport11.2%#296

Manufacturing3.7%#T302

Resources1.0%#207

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Moderate

Index: 24.7 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Low

Index: 0 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Average

Index: 104.3 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$0.4M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$6.3M/yr

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