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ABSAFEPrairies
Yellowhead
W
William Stevenson
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative61%±6%·>99% win
Liberal28%±5%·<1% win
NDP6%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's3%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Retail & service
21.1%
#14 of 343top 5%
Median income
$70,700
Renters
24.5%
Under 35
16.7%
Top industry
Self-employed · 21.7%
Area
82,453 km²
GE45 result
Margin
43.9%
Competitive
56.1/100
Key issues
Climate & wildfire riskWildfire index 388 (Canada avg 100)
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T22
Median income
$70,700
top 10%#151
Avg 2BR rent
$1557/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T125
Unemployment
11.1%
#183
Shelter stressed
18.9%
#222
Renters
24.5%
Age distribution
Under 35
16.7%#123
35–64
58.6%
65+
24.7%#238
Housing tenure
Renters
24.5%#222
Owners
74.6%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
9.7%#170
High school
27.6%#109
College/trades
36.3%#150
Bachelor's
18.7%#173
Postgrad
7.7%#T198
People & Economy
#158
French knowledge
8.8%
#207
Immigrants
12.5%
#189
Recent arrivals
2.4%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#T216
Visible minority
9.6%
#68
Indigenous
7.8%
top 25%#316
Govt. transfers
7.4%
bottom 10%#19
Self-employed
21.7%
top 10%Industry of employment
Trades & transport20.3%
Public sector19.8%
Resources13.3%
Finance & prof8.8%
Manufacturing4.9%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 7.3 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ExtremeIndex: 388 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$8.7M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.7M/yr
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