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ABSAFEPrairies
Airdrie—Cochrane
B
Blake Richards
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative63%±6%·>99% win
Liberal27%±4%·<1% win
NDP6%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Median income
$65,600
#38 of 343top 25%
Renters
18.4%
Under 35
17.4%
Top industry
Public sector · 23.5%
Area
579 km²
GE45 result
Margin
47.5%
Competitive
52.5/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T38
Median income
$65,600
top 25%#144
Avg 2BR rent
$1580/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T148
Unemployment
10.6%
#170
Shelter stressed
19.8%
#T294
Renters
18.4%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
17.4%#109
35–64
64.4%
65+
18.3%#327
Housing tenure
Renters
18.4%#T294
Owners
81.6%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
6.0%#T274
High school
25.8%#133
College/trades
40.9%#79
Bachelor's
20.3%#155
Postgrad
6.9%#220
People & Economy
#178
French knowledge
7.7%
#176
Immigrants
16.2%
#168
Recent arrivals
3.0%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#177
Visible minority
16.5%
#110
Indigenous
4.7%
#T308
Govt. transfers
7.9%
bottom 25%#137
Self-employed
14.8%
Industry of employment
Public sector23.5%
Trades & transport21.9%
Finance & prof10.6%
Resources5.6%
Manufacturing4.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 5.9 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 3 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 80.0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$2.2M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$5.9M/yr
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