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ONSWINGOntario
Oshawa
R
Rhonda Kirkland
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal45%±6%·75% win
Conservative40%±6%·25% win
NDP9%±6%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Unemployment
15.4%
#24 of 343top 10%
Median income
$47,520
Renters
38.9%
Under 35
15.8%
Top industry
Public sector · 25.2%
Area
85 km²
GE45 result
Margin
5.2%
Competitive
94.8/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare29.1% aged 65+
Employment15.4% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T255
Median income
$47,520
#186
Avg 2BR rent
$1456/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#24
Unemployment
15.4%
top 10%#66
Shelter stressed
27.1%
top 25%#88
Renters
38.9%
Age distribution
Under 35
15.8%#146
35–64
55.1%
65+
29.1%#150
Housing tenure
Renters
38.9%#88
Owners
61.1%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
11.3%#129
High school
31.4%#34
College/trades
37.9%#134
Bachelor's
13.7%#256
Postgrad
5.7%#251
People & Economy
#T235
French knowledge
6.2%
#168
Immigrants
18.5%
#182
Recent arrivals
2.5%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#158
Visible minority
21.6%
#141
Indigenous
3.5%
#T71
Govt. transfers
16.6%
top 25%#267
Self-employed
11.1%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector25.2%
Trades & transport21.5%
Finance & prof9.8%
Manufacturing7.4%
Resources0.5%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 52.1 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$62.8M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$5.4M/yr
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